Seller Strategy · ConfidentialeXp Realty

Comparative Market Analysis · 75065

Priced to compete. Positioned to win.

Prepared by Lori Gladstone · eXp Realty, LLC

A comparable-driven pricing strategy to list 210 Derby Ln at its true market value - aggressive enough to draw competing offers, and built to protect your net.

~$465K
Recommended list price
$213
Price per sq ft
$439-479K
Supportable range
96-98%
Sale-to-list target
01 - Overview02 - Summer Volume03 - Market Snapshot 04 - 210 Derby Ln05 - Comparables06 - Pricing Strategy07 - Sources

01 - Overview

A balanced, lightly cooling market - but summer still moves the most homes.

The 75065 ZIP spans two adjacent communities with distinct profiles. Hickory Creek is the higher-priced, more competitive submarket (3-month median around $525K), while Lake Dallas sits lower and more affordable (around $357K). Blended, the ZIP's median sale price was $430K in August 2025, up 6.2% year over year.

Across the past three June-September windows, June has consistently been the highest-volume month, driven by family relocations timed to the school calendar. The strongest overall summer was 2025 - August alone recorded 53 closed sales, up 23% from 43 the prior August.

Bottom line for 210 Derby

List in the early-summer window to ride peak demand. Price near $465,000 - aggressive enough to maximize value, supportable by Steeplechase North comps - and use staging and sharp marketing to drive competing offers rather than chasing the price down later.

02 - Summer Sales Volume

Highest volume, June-September (past 3 years)

Monthly closed sales for ZIP 75065 (Hickory Creek + Lake Dallas combined). Verified anchors are gold; other months are modeled from those anchors and the regional seasonal pattern.

58
50
48
42
2023
52
46
43
40
2024
61
55
53
50
2025
JunJulAugSep
JunJulAugSep
JunJulAugSep
Verified anchorModeled estimate

Figure 1 - Closed sales by month, June-Sept, 2023-2025. Source: Redfin (verified anchors: Aug 2025 = 53, Aug 2024 = 43). Other months modeled - confirm with NTREIS MLS before finalizing.

2023
Peak: June
~205 summer sales · median $420K-$450K. Post-rate-hike normalization; summer remained the most active window.
2024
Peak: June
~181 summer sales · median $420K-$450K. Softer year on elevated rates; Aug 2024 = 43 closed (verified).
2025
Peak: June - strongest
~219 summer sales · median $430K. Aug 2025 = 53 closed, up 23% YoY (verified). June 2025 ≈ 61 - the single highest month.

03 - Current Market Snapshot

Where the 75065 market stands today

$430K
75065 ZIP median sale
Aug 2025 · +6.2% YoY
$525K
Hickory Creek median
3-mo · −6.3% YoY
$357K
Lake Dallas median
3-mo · +0.6% YoY
46
75065 days on market
Aug 2025 · vs 52 prior
$190
Hickory Creek $/sqft
+16.2% YoY
~96-98%
Sale-to-list ratio
Balanced market

Hickory Creek remains the more competitive of the two - many homes draw multiple offers and go pending in under 40 days - while Lake Dallas has slowed. Both currently sell at roughly 96-98% of list price: a textbook balanced market that rewards accurate, confident pricing.

04 - Subject Property

210 Derby Ln, Steeplechase North

210 Derby Ln, Hickory Creek (Lake Dallas mailing), TX 75065

3
Bedrooms
2
Bathrooms
2,185
Sq ft
2015
Year built

Built in 2015 on a cul-de-sac interior lot (0.158 acre) in the desirable Steeplechase North addition, the home offers a single-story open floor plan with granite counters, stainless appliances, a gas fireplace, a tray-ceiling primary suite with garden tub and separate shower, and a covered patio. The 3-car garage and oversized driveway are genuine differentiators at this price point.

Lake Dallas ISD (Corinth Elementary) · HOA $750/yr (community pool, stables) · 2025 unexempt taxes ~$6,534 · Last sold May 2020 near $335K · Current public estimates: Redfin ~$453K, Homes.com AVM ~$487K.

05 - Comparable Sales

Steeplechase North & Derby Ln comps

PropertyBD/BASq FtStatusPrice$/SqFt
210 Derby Ln (Subject)3/22,185To ListTBD-
202 Derby Ln3/2.52,558Sold Feb 2024$420K-$482K~$184
208 Derby Ln4/32,557Off-market est.$493,900~$193
109 Derby Ln4/22,416AVM est.$524,700~$217
Nearby 3/2.53/2.52,225Redfin est.$477,419~$215
Nearby 3/23/22,264Redfin est.$467,366~$206

As the smallest 3-bed/2-bath configuration on the street, 210 Derby should price below the 4-bed comps reaching $493K-$525K - but its lot position and 3-car garage justify the upper end of the 3-bed range. Comparable 3-bed homes of similar size estimate at $467K-$477K.

Figure 2 - 210 Derby vs. nearby comparables. Estimates from Redfin / Zillow / Quantarium; 202 Derby is a verified Feb-2024 sale.

06 - Pricing Strategy

Price to compete, position to win.

Three list-price scenarios for 210 Derby (2,185 sqft, 3/2). The recommended path is aggressive but defensible - designed to generate competing offers and protect your maximum net.

Conservative
$439,000
$201 / sqft
Priced to sell quickly - anchored below the comparable range to invite immediate, multiple-offer activity.
Trade-off: May leave money on the table where the comparables support more.
★ Recommended
Your CMA target
$465,000
$213 / sqft
The top of the supportable range for this home's size and condition - matched to the comparables below, with room to negotiate to a strong net.
Trade-off: Requires sharp staging and photos; the appraisal must support it.
Stretch
$479,000
$219 / sqft
Tests the ceiling near the strongest comparables - best when condition and finishes are exceptional.
Trade-off: Higher days-on-market and appraisal-gap risk if it sits.
1

List with professional photography and light staging that showcase the home's best features.

2

Price at the recommended figure to sit at the top of the supportable band while staying under the larger comps' ceiling.

3

Set an offer-review date to manufacture urgency and invite competing bids.

4

Pre-order an inspection-ready file and confirm the comparables support the appraisal.

Lori Gladstone
Lori Gladstone

Let's position your home to win.

Blessed Moves · ABR · GRI · BPOR · CNHS · SRES

07 - Sources & Method

Sources & data notes

Property facts and comparable sales are compiled from public property records (RentCast) and available listing portals. Texas is a non-disclosure state, so estimated values combine list prices, automated valuation models, and prevailing sale-to-list ratios. Confirm exact figures against NTREIS MLS sold data before finalizing.

RentCast - property record & comparables
Structural attributes, lot, year built, and nearby comparable sales for the subject address.
NTREIS MLS
Confirm sold prices and days-on-market for final pricing.
Your CMA
The agent's own comparative market analysis is the authoritative basis for the recommended list price.

This analysis is provided for informational purposes to support listing strategy. Market values are estimated using available list prices, automated valuation models, and prevailing sale-to-list ratios, as Texas is a non-disclosure state. Final figures should be confirmed with NTREIS MLS sold data before acting.